10 years is a relatively short period in terms of approval by the FDA. I think it's incredible that such a short time period is predicted.
Yes, gene therapy requires chemo and Bluebird uses chemo similar to what is used in BMT. Very few patients have long lasting problems from this aspect of BMT. The real problems lie in the possibility of rejection and graft vs host disease. These are not possibilities with gene therapy. The early trial participants have shown no long term effects from chemo. Yes, it may affect fertility, so collection of sperm or eggs should be done in advance. In my opinion, even with loss of fertility, the cure is well worth it.
The first patients chosen had milder, closer to intermedia phenotypes. This make sense. You can't start with those who are most transfusion dependent until you see the process is working. As it proves itself in ideal patients, we will see trials opened to far more patients. The one criteria that will have to be met for all trials, is that the patients must be in good health, so there is much incentive to comply with treatment and stay healthy.